Why Brexit will not influence EU-Russian relations much

After more than three years of disagreement, postponement and uncertainty, the UK finally left the European Union. Many things, certainly, will change radically but relations with Russia are likely to remain the same.

At a time when the majority of inhabitants of Great Britain do not find major changes, the Kingdom will lose its voting right in the political institutions of the European Union. Moreover, the UK companies face the risk of suffering great economic damage if they fail to ratify a free trade agreement in European markets.

In addition to this, the Kingdom will need to conclude bilateral trade agreements with dozens of other countries: Canada, Japan, and Turkey. Prime Minister Boris Johnson promised not to delay the transition. He, like his predecessor, Theresa May, also excepted the possibility of entering into a customs union with Europe.

Today, we can say that Brexit is unlikely to significantly affect relations with Russia and Europe. Although the rivalry between the US and China is increasingly pushing Europe to the East, the path to normalizing relations is still blocked by a lack of progress in implementing the Minsk agreements.

Another obstacle to improving bilateral relations between Russia and the UK depends on the country itself as it still believes that Russia influenced the results of the Brexit vote. These ideas are not likely to disappear in the near future and only be fueled by other governments.

On the other hand, the UK withdrawal from the European Union creates the conditions for the start of joint trade negotiations with Russia. In addition to this, the UK will have to deal with Moscow on a number of crucial issues, such as the nuclear agreement with Iran, non-proliferation of weapons and others.


Vesna News — official website